Nigeria vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
13%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15.7%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.9%
1.7%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
NGA
0 - 0
UGA
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
NGA
34%
29%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LBY
2 - 3
NGA
23%
29%
49%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NGA
4 - 0
LBY
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SYC
0 - 3
NGA
9%
20%
71%
|
84 | 39 | 45 | +1 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SYC
1 - 8
LBY
5%
12%
84%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SYC
0 - 0
RSA
6%
15%
79%
|
38 | 82 | 44 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
RSA
6 - 0
SYC
85%
12%
3%
|
39 | 81 | 42 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SYC
0 - 3
NGA
9%
20%
71%
|
39 | 84 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SYC
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |