Nigeria vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
24.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1990 |
NGA
1 - 0
CIV
44%
30%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1990 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
35%
30%
34%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
5 - 1
NGA
55%
27%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1988 |
AUS
1 - 0
NGA
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
NGA
1 - 3
YUG
73%
19%
8%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1990 |
ZAM
0 - 0
SEN
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1990 |
ZAM
1 - 0
KEN
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CMR
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1989 |
KEN
1 - 0
ZAM
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
UGA
3 - 1
ZAM
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |