Nigeria vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1985 |
CIV
1 - 1
NGA
61%
21%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
CIV
1 - 1
NGA
61%
21%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1985 |
NGA
2 - 0
CIV
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1985 |
NGA
0 - 0
CIV
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
NGA
3 - 1
KEN
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1985 |
TUN
1 - 0
ALG
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1985 |
GHA
0 - 2
TUN
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
ALG
3 - 1
TUN
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1984 |
CIV
3 - 1
TUN
52%
23%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
TUN
2 - 0
CAN
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |