Nigeria vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
UGA
2 - 1
NGA
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NGA
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
NGA
1 - 1
GHA
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
NGA
4 - 2
BFA
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
GAB
0 - 1
NGA
34%
23%
43%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
GHA
1 - 0
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
CGO
0 - 0
TUN
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
UGA
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1978 |
TUN
2 - 1
LBY
76%
15%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |