Nigeria vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
4.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NGA
1 - 1
CPV
74%
18%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LBR
0 - 2
NGA
12%
23%
65%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CTA
0 - 2
NGA
6%
17%
78%
|
84 | 35 | 49 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
NGA
0 - 1
CTA
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 33 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
SDN
0 - 0
GNB
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
ZIM
0 - 0
SDN
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
SDN
2 - 3
ETH
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
LBN
1 - 0
SDN
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SDN
0 - 5
EGY
12%
19%
70%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |