Nigeria vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1976 |
NGA
4 - 2
COD
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
ZAM
1 - 3
NGA
45%
22%
34%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
KEN
1 - 1
NGA
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
GHA
3 - 0
NGA
59%
21%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
GHA
1 - 2
NGA
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
2 - 2
SDN
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
SDN
1 - 0
SRB
31%
22%
47%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 1975 |
LVA
3 - 1
SDN
74%
14%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1974 |
SDN
1 - 3
TUN
48%
22%
30%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
SDN
0 - 2
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |