Nigeria vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
4 - 2
MOZ
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 1
NGA
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 1
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 2
NGA
71%
20%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 0
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
RSA
1 - 1
MLI
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
RSA
3 - 1
MOZ
73%
19%
8%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 0
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
81 | 97 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
SWZ
0 - 3
RSA
9%
19%
72%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
RSA
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |