Nigeria vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
ARG
2 - 4
NGA
82%
14%
4%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 1
NGA
40%
27%
32%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NGA
1 - 0
ZAM
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
CMR
1 - 1
NGA
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
NGA
4 - 0
CMR
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
RWA
2 - 0
UGA
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
UGA
3 - 0
RWA
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
RWA
0 - 0
TAN
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
TAN
1 - 1
RWA
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
CTA
2 - 1
RWA
8%
16%
76%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |