Nigeria vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
1 - 0
BEN
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
3 - 1
NGA
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 3
NGA
23%
29%
48%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NGA
1 - 0
MOZ
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
NGA
2 - 2
TUN
57%
25%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
2 - 0
MOZ
91%
7%
2%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 2
BEN
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
2 - 0
MOZ
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 1
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |