Nigeria vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
NGA
2 - 2
TUN
57%
25%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
TUN
0 - 0
NGA
42%
29%
29%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
NGA
3 - 0
KEN
74%
18%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
FRA
0 - 1
NGA
74%
19%
7%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
IRL
1 - 1
NGA
60%
25%
15%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
KEN
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
SWZ
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 1
MOZ
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
TUN
2 - 0
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 0
NGA
23%
29%
49%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |