Nigeria vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
68%
22%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
USA
3 - 2
NGA
53%
28%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 1
NGA
73%
19%
8%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1995 |
NGA
0 - 0
ARG
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1995 |
JPN
0 - 3
NGA
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1995 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
58%
26%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
USA
4 - 0
MEX
29%
30%
41%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 2
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1995 |
URU
0 - 1
MEX
47%
28%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 1
NGA
73%
19%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |