Nigeria vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
JPN
3 - 0
NGA
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
NGA
1 - 0
VEN
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
NGA
2 - 2
ANG
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
NGA
0 - 3
BRA
15%
21%
65%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
NGA
4 - 1
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
MLI
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 0
MAR
41%
29%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
TTO
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
EQG
0 - 1
MAR
6%
21%
74%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |