Nigeria vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
NGA
0 - 0
CIV
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
NGA
3 - 1
TAN
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
NGA
0 - 0
CMR
62%
19%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
NGA
1 - 0
SRB
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 0
GHA
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1980 |
ALG
1 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUI
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 0
POL
19%
23%
58%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |