Nigeria vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.9%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 0
BFA
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MLI
1 - 4
NGA
24%
26%
51%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 2
NGA
55%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
0 - 2
NGA
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
NGA
20%
26%
55%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
TAN
1 - 0
KEN
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
TOG
1 - 0
KEN
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NAM
1 - 0
KEN
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
KEN
0 - 0
MWI
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
KEN
2 - 1
TOG
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |