Nigeria vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
SEN
1 - 2
NGA
49%
29%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
NGA
7 - 1
BFA
65%
23%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
NGA
3 - 0
BEN
75%
19%
7%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
NGA
0 - 0
GHA
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
TOG
0 - 0
NGA
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
ZAM
2 - 0
KEN
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
UGA
1 - 3
KEN
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1991 |
KEN
1 - 0
MWI
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
ZAM
1 - 0
KEN
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1991 |
MWI
1 - 1
KEN
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |