Nigeria vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
KEN
0 - 3
NGA
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1984 |
TUN
5 - 0
NGA
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1984 |
CAN
3 - 1
NGA
54%
22%
25%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
CMR
3 - 1
NGA
69%
18%
12%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
EGY
2 - 2
NGA
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
KEN
0 - 3
NGA
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1984 |
KEN
1 - 3
UGA
57%
22%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
ZAM
2 - 0
KEN
73%
16%
12%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
KEN
6 - 5
SOM
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
KEN
1 - 2
MWI
55%
22%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |