Nigeria vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
43.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1994 |
GRC
0 - 2
NGA
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1994 |
ARG
2 - 1
NGA
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1994 |
NGA
3 - 0
BGR
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1994 |
NGA
5 - 1
GEO
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
ROU
2 - 0
NGA
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 1
MEX
62%
24%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOR
67%
21%
12%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
0 - 1
IRL
64%
23%
13%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRC
70%
20%
10%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 0
SUI
63%
23%
14%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | +1 |