Nigeria vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
GUI
1 - 1
NGA
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
NGA
0 - 0
ANG
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
TAN
0 - 2
NGA
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
NGA
1 - 1
TAN
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
GUI
1 - 1
NGA
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
SEN
0 - 1
GUI
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1981 |
MLI
5 - 6
GUI
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1981 |
GUI
1 - 0
SEN
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1981 |
GUI
2 - 1
MTN
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |