CHAN Qualifying Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Nigeria vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 0
NGA
34%
27%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
STP
0 - 10
NGA
8%
18%
74%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
NGA
2 - 1
SLE
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 0
NGA
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 1
NGA
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 0
NGA
34%
27%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
GHA
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
GHA
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GHA
3 - 0
BEN
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
GHA
0 - 0
CHI
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |