Nigeria vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
4 - 3
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
3 - 1
RSA
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
4 - 2
MOZ
81%
14%
6%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 1
NGA
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 1
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 0
COD
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
GHA
16%
24%
60%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 1
LBY
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
16%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NAM
0 - 1
GHA
15%
24%
62%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |