Nigeria vs Ghana analysis

Nigeria Ghana
86 ELO 78
-8.7% Tilt -21.8%
246º General ELO ranking 410º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
65.3%
Nigeria
20.1%
Draw
14.6%
Ghana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
Nigeria
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.6%
Win probability
Ghana
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nigeria
-5%
-7%
Ghana

ELO progression

Nigeria
Ghana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nigeria
Nigeria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2002
LBR
Liberia
0 - 1
Nigeria
NGA
6%
21%
74%
85 56 29 0
24 Jan. 2002
MLI
Mali
0 - 0
Nigeria
NGA
15%
26%
60%
86 69 17 -1
21 Jan. 2002
ALG
Algeria
0 - 1
Nigeria
NGA
33%
28%
40%
85 81 4 +1
12 Jan. 2002
CIV
Ivory Coast
1 - 1
Nigeria
NGA
48%
27%
25%
85 83 2 0
07 Oct. 2001
NGA
Nigeria
2 - 2
Japan
JPN
35%
27%
38%
85 89 4 0

Matches

Ghana
Ghana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2002
BFA
Burkina Faso
1 - 2
Ghana
GHA
19%
24%
57%
78 63 15 0
24 Jan. 2002
RSA
South Africa
0 - 0
Ghana
GHA
50%
25%
25%
78 82 4 0
21 Jan. 2002
MAR
Morocco
0 - 0
Ghana
GHA
73%
18%
10%
78 88 10 0
04 Jan. 2002
EGY
Egypt
2 - 0
Ghana
GHA
66%
20%
13%
79 85 6 -1
25 Dec. 2001
MLI
Mali
1 - 1
Ghana
GHA
33%
29%
38%
79 67 12 0
X