Nigeria vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
MAR
0 - 0
NGA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
NGA
0 - 0
MLI
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1983 |
TOG
5 - 2
NGA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
SEN
0 - 1
NGA
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1983 |
NGA
1 - 0
SEN
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
TOG
2 - 1
GHA
25%
23%
53%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1984 |
GUI
0 - 1
GHA
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
GAM
0 - 1
GHA
25%
23%
52%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
GHA
1 - 2
NGA
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
GHA
3 - 1
TOG
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |