Nigeria vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 1
NGA
34%
30%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 2
ECU
55%
26%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
LBY
2 - 1
NGA
31%
30%
40%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
GAB
1 - 1
NGA
25%
30%
45%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ZIM
0 - 3
NGA
28%
31%
41%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
GAB
0 - 0
CGO
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
2 - 1
CGO
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
2 - 3
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
1 - 0
CGO
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
4 - 0
CYM
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | +1 |