Nigeria vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1994 |
NGA
0 - 0
GHA
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1993 |
ALG
1 - 1
NGA
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
NGA
4 - 1
CIV
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1993 |
NGA
6 - 0
ETH
76%
17%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1993 |
UGA
0 - 0
NGA
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
ANG
2 - 1
GAB
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
GAB
0 - 0
SEN
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
MLT
2 - 1
GAB
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1993 |
TUN
4 - 0
GAB
78%
16%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
BEL
2 - 1
GAB
92%
7%
2%
|
60 | 90 | 30 | 0 |