Nigeria vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
NGA
0 - 0
JAM
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
SEN
2 - 2
NGA
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ANG
0 - 0
NGA
30%
29%
42%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
NGA
0 - 0
ENG
4%
16%
80%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2002 |
SWE
2 - 1
NGA
81%
14%
6%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
TUN
0 - 0
EGY
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
MAD
1 - 0
EGY
11%
23%
66%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
EGY
0 - 1
LBY
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
EGY
3 - 0
SDN
83%
13%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2002 |
EGY
2 - 0
UGA
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |