Nigeria vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
5 - 1
NGA
55%
27%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1988 |
AUS
1 - 0
NGA
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
NGA
1 - 3
YUG
73%
19%
8%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
BRA
4 - 0
NGA
45%
29%
27%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
CMR
1 - 0
NGA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
CIV
3 - 1
EGY
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1990 |
EGY
0 - 0
AUT
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
EGY
0 - 0
KOR
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
EGY
0 - 0
DEN
33%
30%
37%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1989 |
TUN
0 - 4
EGY
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |