Nigeria vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1988 |
CMR
1 - 1
NGA
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1988 |
NGA
3 - 0
KEN
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
NGA
2 - 0
ZIM
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ZIM
0 - 0
NGA
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
CIV
1 - 0
NGA
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1988 |
EGY
3 - 0
KEN
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1988 |
CMR
1 - 0
EGY
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1988 |
EGY
1 - 0
BGR
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
KWT
0 - 2
EGY
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1987 |
KEN
0 - 1
EGY
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |