Nigeria vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
2 - 1
NGA
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1976 |
GUI
1 - 1
NGA
68%
18%
15%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
3 - 1
NGA
68%
18%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1976 |
NGA
1 - 0
SDN
73%
16%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1976 |
NGA
4 - 2
COD
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1976 |
GUI
4 - 2
EGY
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
2 - 1
EGY
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1976 |
ETH
1 - 1
EGY
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
79%
13%
9%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
EGY
1 - 1
GUI
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |