Nigeria vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
59.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1998 |
NGA
1 - 3
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1998 |
NGA
1 - 0
BGR
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1998 |
ESP
2 - 3
NGA
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 97 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1998 |
NED
5 - 1
NGA
82%
13%
4%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1998 |
YUG
3 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1998 |
FRA
2 - 1
DEN
72%
18%
11%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1998 |
RSA
1 - 1
DEN
12%
25%
63%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1998 |
KSA
0 - 1
DEN
18%
26%
56%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1998 |
DEN
1 - 2
CMR
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1998 |
SWE
3 - 0
DEN
51%
26%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |