Nigeria vs Ivory Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 2
RSA
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CGO
0 - 2
NGA
18%
28%
54%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
NGA
3 - 1
SDN
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SDN
1 - 0
NGA
20%
27%
54%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 0
NGA
34%
29%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
2 - 0
CIV
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
CIV
0 - 0
CMR
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
SLE
1 - 5
CIV
18%
24%
58%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CIV
16%
22%
61%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CIV
3 - 4
COD
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |