Nigeria vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2010 |
NGA
0 - 0
KSA
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
NGA
5 - 2
COD
68%
20%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
1 - 0
ALG
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
GHA
1 - 0
NGA
29%
27%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NGA
19%
25%
57%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2010 |
RSA
2 - 1
COL
25%
30%
45%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
COL
51%
27%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
COL
2 - 4
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
MEX
1 - 2
COL
62%
22%
15%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
URU
3 - 1
COL
54%
25%
20%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |