Nigeria vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.2%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
9.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.4%
4-0
14%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.4%
1.2%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 1
NGA
36%
29%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 1
UGA
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
YEM
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 1
CIV
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 2
RSA
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
CHA
84%
11%
4%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 1
MWI
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MWI
2 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
YEM
0 - 0
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
MWI
2 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |