Nigeria vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
SEN
1 - 0
NGA
44%
28%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
NGA
0 - 0
ZIM
74%
18%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
NGA
3 - 1
SYC
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 37 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
NGA
0 - 0
UGA
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
TUN
2 - 1
BDI
78%
17%
6%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
ALG
1 - 1
BDI
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BDI
1 - 1
GAB
24%
25%
52%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
SSD
2 - 5
BDI
18%
20%
62%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BDI
1 - 1
MLI
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |