Nigeria vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
NGA
3 - 0
CMR
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 2
COD
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
NIG
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 0
NGA
14%
25%
61%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
CHA
93%
5%
1%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BFA
1 - 4
MLI
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BFA
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
COM
87%
10%
3%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 3
CMR
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
KAZ
0 - 0
BFA
44%
25%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |