Nigeria vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 0
MWI
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 2
NGA
31%
29%
40%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CIV
2 - 0
NGA
58%
24%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
NGA
0 - 3
ESP
4%
10%
86%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 2
URU
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BFA
1 - 0
GAB
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
BFA
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
BFA
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 1
BFA
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |