Nigeria vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
12%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
NGA
3 - 0
BEN
75%
19%
7%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
NGA
0 - 0
GHA
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
TOG
0 - 0
NGA
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
BFA
1 - 1
NGA
27%
29%
44%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
BEN
0 - 1
NGA
20%
27%
53%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1991 |
BFA
2 - 1
GHA
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
TOG
1 - 0
BFA
59%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
BEN
1 - 2
BFA
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
BFA
1 - 1
NGA
27%
29%
44%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
GHA
2 - 0
BFA
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |