Nigeria vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
GAB
0 - 1
NGA
34%
23%
43%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1978 |
NGA
2 - 0
BEN
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
NGA
7 - 0
BEN
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
NGA
0 - 1
TUN
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1977 |
EGY
3 - 1
NGA
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
MLI
2 - 1
BFA
73%
15%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1973 |
LVA
4 - 2
BFA
77%
13%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1973 |
GUI
3 - 2
BFA
79%
12%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1973 |
CGO
3 - 0
BFA
66%
17%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
BFA
3 - 3
NGA
47%
21%
31%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |