Nigeria vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1994 |
NGA
5 - 1
GEO
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
ROU
2 - 0
NGA
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1994 |
SWE
3 - 1
NGA
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
67%
23%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
NGA
2 - 1
ZAM
52%
27%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1994 |
BGR
1 - 1
UKR
83%
12%
6%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1994 |
KWT
2 - 2
BGR
28%
30%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1994 |
OMA
1 - 1
BGR
8%
17%
75%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1994 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
25%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
FRA
1 - 2
BGR
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | +1 |