Nigeria vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
NGA
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 1
RSA
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
NGA
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 2
NGA
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 2
CIV
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
NGA
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
RWA
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SEN
1 - 0
BEN
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CIV
2 - 2
BEN
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 0
BEN
15%
22%
63%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |