Nigeria vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.9%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
3 - 1
NGA
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 3
NGA
23%
29%
48%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NGA
1 - 0
MOZ
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
NGA
2 - 2
TUN
57%
25%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
TUN
0 - 0
NGA
42%
29%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 2
BEN
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 0
LBY
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 2
BEN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 0
GHA
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
MLI
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |