Nigeria vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.6%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.5%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
NGA
0 - 0
MLI
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
NGA
0 - 1
CIV
51%
24%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
NGA
2 - 0
SDN
75%
18%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
SUI
0 - 1
NGA
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
AUS
1 - 0
NGA
49%
27%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
CIV
4 - 1
BEN
89%
9%
2%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
MLI
1 - 0
BEN
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
GHA
4 - 2
BEN
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
NPL
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |