Nigeria vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
NGA
2 - 0
ISL
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 0
NGA
66%
20%
13%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
CZE
1 - 0
NGA
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 1
NGA
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
NGA
1 - 1
COD
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
ARG
0 - 3
CRO
59%
22%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
ARG
1 - 1
ISL
78%
14%
7%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
ARG
4 - 0
HTI
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
6 - 1
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 0
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |