Nigeria vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
NGA
1 - 0
BIH
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
IRN
0 - 0
NGA
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
USA
2 - 1
NGA
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
GRC
0 - 0
NGA
54%
26%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 2
SCO
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 0
IRN
79%
15%
7%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 1
BIH
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 0
SVN
87%
11%
3%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
ARG
3 - 0
TTO
89%
9%
2%
|
95 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ROU
0 - 0
ARG
20%
23%
57%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |