Nigeria vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1995 |
JPN
0 - 3
NGA
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ENG
1 - 0
NGA
79%
16%
5%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1994 |
NGA
1 - 2
ITA
26%
30%
44%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1994 |
GRC
0 - 2
NGA
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1994 |
ARG
2 - 1
NGA
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
JPN
1 - 5
ARG
27%
27%
47%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1994 |
ARG
1 - 0
YUG
45%
27%
29%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1994 |
ARG
1 - 0
ROU
55%
25%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
CHI
0 - 3
ARG
36%
28%
36%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1994 |
ROU
3 - 2
ARG
42%
27%
31%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |