Nigeria vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
GHA
1 - 0
NGA
29%
27%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NGA
19%
25%
57%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
3 - 0
MOZ
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
1 - 0
BEN
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
3 - 1
NGA
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
ALG
0 - 4
EGY
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CIV
2 - 3
ALG
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
0 - 0
ALG
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
MLI
0 - 1
ALG
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
MWI
3 - 0
ALG
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |