Nigeria vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
NGA
0 - 0
EGY
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1988 |
CMR
1 - 1
NGA
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1988 |
NGA
3 - 0
KEN
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
NGA
2 - 0
ZIM
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ZIM
0 - 0
NGA
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
ALG
1 - 0
COD
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1988 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALG
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
CIV
1 - 1
ALG
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
TUN
0 - 2
ALG
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
ALG
2 - 1
CIV
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |