Nigeria vs RD Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
NIG
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 0
NGA
14%
25%
61%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
CHA
93%
5%
1%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 1
NGA
36%
29%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 1
UGA
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CTA
2 - 0
COD
4%
12%
84%
|
70 | 17 | 53 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
COD
2 - 1
MAD
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
COD
1 - 1
CMR
29%
28%
44%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
IRQ
1 - 0
COD
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
IRQ
2 - 1
COD
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |