Nigeria vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.2%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
9.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
17%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.5%
1.2%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
KOR
2 - 1
NGA
52%
27%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
NGA
2 - 2
KOR
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
GRC
2 - 1
NGA
55%
23%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
ARG
1 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
NGA
3 - 1
PRK
68%
20%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MAD
1 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 8 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
MAD
0 - 0
MAY
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RSA
1 - 0
MAD
80%
15%
5%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CIV
3 - 0
MAD
93%
5%
1%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 0
BOT
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |