Nigeria vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12%
3.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
MOZ
2 - 3
NGA
13%
23%
65%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
KSA
2 - 2
NGA
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NGA
6 - 0
STP
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 3
NGA
15%
24%
62%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
GNB
0 - 1
NGA
12%
20%
67%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 0
LSO
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
ZAM
10%
21%
70%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
1 - 1
LSO
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
ANG
4 - 2
LSO
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
LSO
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |