Nigeria vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
4.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
NGA
21%
27%
52%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
SLE
0 - 0
NGA
14%
24%
62%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
NGA
4 - 4
SLE
79%
16%
6%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
NGA
1 - 1
TUN
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
NGA
0 - 1
ALG
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
LSO
0 - 0
SLE
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LSO
0 - 0
BEN
19%
23%
57%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
LSO
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LSO
2 - 4
NGA
13%
24%
63%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
SLE
1 - 1
LSO
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |